So you thought that if General Petraeus was unable to show that his “surge” strategy was working in a planned report in September, we could expect the Bush administration would finally acknowledge that the time has come to begin withdrawing, huh.
Well, of course, no one really believed that. It is hard to believe anything coming out of the Bush gang anymore. According to Monday’s New York Times, the American command in Iraq has prepared a detailed plan that foresees a significant American role for the next two years.
“The classified plan,” the Times reports, “which represents the coordinated strategy of the top American commander and the American ambassador, calls for restoring security in local areas, including Baghdad, by the summer of 2008. “Sustainable security” is to be established on a nationwide basis by the summer of 2009, according to American officials familiar with the document.”
What happened to September 2007? When did “sustainable security” become a goal?
If you feel like you have fallen down Alice’s rabbit hole every time you read a report on this administration, the following brief – yes, that’s what I said, brief – overview of past predictions, actions and assorted mumbo jumbo from the Bushies should make you feel like you will never get out.
May 1, 2003; Mission Accomplished: [M]y fellow Americans. Major combat operations in Iraq have ended. [White House web site]
June 6, 2003; Rumsfeld blames Iraq problems on “pockets of dead-enders”: In those regions where pockets of dead-enders are trying to reconstitute, Gen. Franks and his team are rooting them out. In short, the coalition is making good progress. [USA Today,
September 3, 2003; Report shows Bush failed to plan: A secret report for the Joint Chiefs of Staff lays the blame for setbacks in Iraq on a flawed and rushed war-planning process that "limited the focus" for preparing for post-Saddam Hussein operations. [Washington Times]
April 19, 2004; Bob Woodward reveals CIA Director George Tenet said there was a “slam dunk case” against Iraq: About two weeks before deciding to invade Iraq, President Bush was told by CIA Director George Tenet there was a “slam dunk case” that dictator Saddam Hussein had unconventional weapons, according to a new book by Washington Post journalist Bob Woodward. [CNN]
May 1, 2004; Bush says “daily life” of Iraqis is improving: One year later [after Mission Accomplished], despite many challenges, life for the Iraqi people is a world away from the cruelty and corruption of Saddam’s regime. At the most basic level of justice, people are no longer disappearing into political prisons, torture chambers, and mass graves — because the former dictator is in prison, himself. And their daily life is improving. [White House web site]
September 16, 2004; Intelligence report delivered to Bush warns of civil war. Bush’s response: the CIA is “just guessing”: A classified National Intelligence Estimate prepared for President Bush in late July spells out a dark assessment of prospects for Iraq. The estimate outlines three possibilities for Iraq through the end of 2005, with the worst case being developments that could lead to civil war, the officials said. [NYT and the White House web site]
September 28, 2004; Another report showing Bush was warned about conditions in post-war Iraq: The same intelligence unit that produced a gloomy report in July about the prospect of growing instability in Iraq warned the Bush administration about the potential costly consequences of an American-led invasion two months before the war began, government officials said Monday. [NYT]
MAY 1, 2005; Downing Street Memo revealed: Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy. [Downing Street Memo]
May 30, 2005; Dick Cheney: Insurgency in its “last throes”: I think they’re in the last throes, if you will, of the insurgency. [CNN Larry King Live]
October 13, 2005; Bush administration paid no attention to warnings of post-war chaos: A review by former intelligence officers has concluded that the Bush administration “apparently paid little or no attention” to prewar assessments by the Central Intelligence Agency that warned of major cultural and political obstacles to stability in postwar Iraq. [NYT]
November 15, 2005; U.S. Senate votes 79-19 to demand regular reports from the White House on progress towards a phased pullout of troops from Iraq. [CNN]
December 1, 2005; President Bush laid out his administration’s vision for winning the war in Iraq: Bush acknowledges that the U.S. military has suffered “setbacks” but asserts that it is making unmistakable progress in training Iraqi security forces — a mission he vows will not be cut short by political pressures on the homefront. [Washington Post]
December 17, 2005; Lieberman: Bush has turned corner on Iraq: The last two weeks have been critically important, Lieberman says, and he says he believes it may be seen as a turning point in the war in Iraq and the war on terrorism. [AP]
February 2, 2006: Rumsfeld doubts “long war” in Iraq: “Is Iraq going to be a long war?” Mr. Rumsfeld answered, “No, I don’t believe it is.” [Washington Times]
March 19, 2006: “Complete victory”: On the eve of the third anniversary of the Iraq invasion, President Bush promised to “finish the mission” with “complete victory,” urging the American public to remain steadfast but offering no indication when victory may be achieved. [Washington Post]
March 21, 2006: Bush says some U.S. troops will remain in Iraq at least until 2009:
QUESTION: [W]ill there come a day when there will be no more American forces in Iraq?
BUSH: That, of course, is an objective, and that will be decided by future Presidents and future governments of Iraq. [Bush press conference]
MAY 1, 2006: On the 3rd anniversary of Mission Accomplished, Bush says Iraq has reached “a turning point.”: A new Iraqi government represents a strategic opportunity for America — and the whole world, for that matter. This nation of ours and our coalition partners are going to work with the new leadership to strengthen our mutual efforts to achieve success, a victory in this war on terror. This is a — we believe this is a turning point for the Iraqi citizens, and it’s a new chapter in our partnership. [White House web site]
June 20, 2006: Iraqi National Security Adviser writes that U.S. troops should be out of Iraq by the end of 2007: We envisage the U.S. troop presence by year’s end to be under 100,000, with most of the remaining troops to return home by the end of 2007. [Washington Post]
September 11, 2006: Cheney: war critics aid terrorists: terrorists are encouraged, obviously, when they see the kind of debate that we’ve had in the United States, suggestions, for example, that we should withdraw U.S. forces from Iraq. [Meet the Press]
October 4, 2006: Al Qaeda letter says prolonging the Iraq war “is in our interest.”: “The most important thing is that you continue in your jihad in Iraq …Indeed, prolonging the war is in our interest, with God’s permission.” [Counterterrorism Center at West Point]
October 6, 2006: In Baghdad, Rice says Iraq is “making progress”: Her trip “began inauspiciously when the military transport plane that brought her to Baghdad was forced to circle the city for about 40 minutes” because the airport was under attack. [New York Times]
November 20, 2006: Iraqis demand U.S. troops withdraw: “Seven out of ten Iraqis overall–including both the Shia majority (74%) and the Sunni minority (91%)–say they want the United States to leave within a year.” [World Public Opinion poll]
December 6, 2006: Iraq Study Group Report released.
December 19, 2006: The White House is “aggressively promoting” a plan to send “15,000 to 30,000 more troops” to Iraq “over the unanimous disagreement of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,” the Washington Post reports.
January 2, 2007: Gen. George Casey warns against troop escalation in Iraq: “It’s always been my view that a heavy and sustained American military presence was not going to solve the problems in Iraq over the long term.” [New York Times – Goodbye Gen. Casey]
January 10, 2007: Bush announces escalation: “I’ve committed more than 20,000 additional American troops to Iraq.” [White House web site]
February 2, 2007: National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq declares Iraq is worse than a civil war: The document states that the term civil war “accurately describes key elements of the Iraqi conflict,” though it “does not adequately capture the complexity of the conflict.” [Washington Post]
March 27, 2007: McCain claims progress in Iraq: McCain tells CNN’s Wolf Blitzer: “General Petraeus goes out there almost every day in an unarmed humvee. I think you oughta catch up. You are giving the old line of three months ago. I understand it. We certainly don’t get it through the filter of some of the media.” He later acknowledges, “There is no unarmored humvees. Obviously, that’s the case.” [CBS]
April 5, 2007: 12,000 more National Guard troops to Iraq: “Coming on the heels of a controversial ’surge’ of 21,000 U.S. troops that has stretched the Army thin, the Defense Department is preparing to send an additional 12,000 National Guard combat forces to Iraq and Afghanistan.” [MSNBC]
April 11, 2007: Gates announces 12-15 month extensions for Army troops: Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates announced yesterday that all active-duty soldiers currently deployed or going to Iraq and Afghanistan will see their one-year tours extended to 15 months, acknowledging that such a strain on the war-weary Army is necessary should the ongoing troop increase be prolonged well into next year. [Washington Post]
April 24, 2007: Tillman family accuses Bush administration of twisting the facts: In “explosive testimony” today, Kevin Tillman, brother of Cpl. Pat Tillman, the former NFL player who was killed in action in Afghanistan, “accused the Bush administration of twisting the facts of his brother’s death to distract public attention from the prisoner abuses at Abu Ghraib.” [LAT]
May 9, 2007: Majority Of Iraqi Parliament Calls For Timetable For U.S. Withdrawal: “On Tuesday, without note in the U.S. media, more than half of the members of Iraq’s parliament rejected the continuing occupation of their country. 144 lawmakers signed onto a legislative petition calling on the United States to set a timetable for withdrawal, according to Nassar Al-Rubaie, a spokesman for the Al Sadr movement, the nationalist Shia group that sponsored the petition.” [Alternet]
June 14, 2007: Despite surge, violence on the rise: “Three months into the new U.S. military strategy that has sent tens of thousands of additional troops into Iraq, overall levels of violence in the country have not decreased, as attacks have shifted away from Baghdad and Anbar, where American forces are concentrated, only to rise in most other provinces, according to a Pentagon report released yesterday.” [Washington Post]
JUNE 26, 2007: Support for war reaches new low: “A new low of 30 percent of Americans say they support the U.S. war in Iraq and, for the first time, most Americans say they don’t believe it is morally justified,” a new CNN poll finds. [CNN]